People used to go to Delphi, now Delphi comes to them
Yousuf, Muhammad Imran (2007). Using Experts’ Opinions through Delphi Technique. Practical Assessment Research & Evaluation, 12(4). Available online: http://pareonline.net/getvn.asp?v=12&n=4
(My thoughts are in parentheses.)
There are various versions of the technique – all feature consulting experts in the field. One version has the steps of:
Another version is divided into six steps:
The process can be broken down even further.
The Delphi Technique offers anonymity, controlled feedback and a statistical group response. It is particularly useful for groups who cannot get together face-to-face due to costs or time factors. It is also useful for groups whose ideals may be so opposed that they would not otherwise be able to have a productive meeting. (Maybe the U.S. government should try this.)
It is a subjective information gathering technique that helps to eliminate the “bandwagon effect.”
The Delphi Technique is:
It was developed in secrecy and obscurity under the military as classified. It has since moved through stages of novelty, popularity, scrutiny and continuity.
(My thoughts are in parentheses.)
There are various versions of the technique – all feature consulting experts in the field. One version has the steps of:
- Round 1 Questionnaire – seeking opinions, a list of predictions, and a list of recommended activities.
- Round 2 – Rate a collective list based on a criterion of performance
- Round 3 Questionnaire – with the list and ratings. If no consensus, experts are asked torevise opinions or say why they disagree
Another version is divided into six steps:
- Choose the group
- Questionnaire 1
- Questionnaire 2
- Questionnaire 3
- Questionnaire 4
- Results
The process can be broken down even further.
The Delphi Technique offers anonymity, controlled feedback and a statistical group response. It is particularly useful for groups who cannot get together face-to-face due to costs or time factors. It is also useful for groups whose ideals may be so opposed that they would not otherwise be able to have a productive meeting. (Maybe the U.S. government should try this.)
It is a subjective information gathering technique that helps to eliminate the “bandwagon effect.”
The Delphi Technique is:
- For group work
- For distance compilation of opinions
- Usually done with a series of questionaires
- A method of last resort
It was developed in secrecy and obscurity under the military as classified. It has since moved through stages of novelty, popularity, scrutiny and continuity.